Research on the use of individual-based models (IBMs) for
applied and theoretical ecology is affiliated with the Mathematical Modeling Program,
HSU Mathematics Department.
This research is a collaboration of mathematicians, ecologists and biologists,
environmental engineers, and software professionals. See below for our research goals.
- Gordon Research Conference "Unifying Ecology Across Scales". Richard Sibley (University of Reading, U.K.) is organizing a Gordon Research Conference on the use of individual-based modeling and other techniques to understand ecology across scales. Steve Railsback and our close collaborator Volker Grimm will be among the speakers and discussion leaders. The conference is July 24-29, 2016, at University of New England, Maine. Information on the conference is here.
- New individual/agent-based modeling and NetLogo interest group at Humboldt State. HSU faculty
and staff, grad students, and advanced undergraduates interested in using NetLogo for individual-based modeling are encouraged to participate in our
new interest group. We meet approximately biweekly to help beginners get started, solve problems with more experienced users,
and pass on new discoveries. Contact Steve Railsback if you are interested.
- New model of river management effects on breeding success of foothill yellow-legged frogs. This individual-based model simulates how river flow and temperature regimes (at daily or shorter time steps) affect this unique frog species that breeds along river margins. Modeled processes include timing of egg laying, incubation timing and survival of egg masses, and survival and timing of tadpole development. The first publication using the model (Publications and Products page) addresses potential conflicts between frog breeding and river management for salmonids, using sites on the Trinity River.
inSTREAM in NetLogo ?? !! with evolution!! Our good friend Daniel Ayllón paid an extended
visit to Humboldt State in 2013, and then re-programmed inSTREAM in the popular agent-based modeling platform
NetLogo. Daniel carefully tested his new software (and ours) by comparing the two implementations and eliminating
the discrepancies. The NetLogo version (pictured here; click on the picture for a larger version) makes it possible for people lacking C programming skills
to make changes in inSTREAM; however, Daniel's version currently can only use rectangular habitat cells.
Dr. Ayllón then added genetic evolution in several traits of trout to the model and hence calls it inSTREAM-GEN.
His first study using the model (Publications and Products page) examines ecological
and evolutionary responses of trout to land use and climate change in the Spanish Pyrenees.
- Publication addressing cumulative effects of river flow fluctuations and exotic species on an endangered warmwater fish, by former MS student Tyler Belarde and Steve Railsback. This paper is our contribution to a special issue of Ecological Modelling that commemorates the 70th birthday of IBM pioneer Donald DeAngelis. Tyler used a model in which cumulative effects emerge from individual variation in size, competition for food, and predation by fish on each other. The piscivory component of the model is based on the very early IBM by DeAngelis et al. (1980) of fish cannibalism. The study is unique in simulating over 1000 sets of input so that the type of cumulative effect (independent, antagonistic, synergistic) could be related to habitat type. Tyler found that habitat disturbance (flow fluctions) could suppress the effects of the exotic species, but only under limited conditions. See the (Publications and Products page).
- Brooke Penaluna of Oregon State University used inSTREAM to examine cumulative effects of forestry and climate change on trout populations and has several publications resulting from her work. See the (Publications and Products page).
- Effects of land use on bird populations and pest control services on coffee farms published in
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. This new paper analyzes the coffee farm IBM developed
to understand Matt Johnson's field sites in Jamaica. In this system, the availability of different habitat types (forest, trees, shade- and sun-grown coffee) determines bird population densities, which determine how well birds control an insect
pest that infests coffee. We found that patches of trees, or a mix of shade-grown coffee, support bird populations well enough to provide economically important pest control; separate areas of intact forest and
coffee monoculture did not. See the Publications and Products page.
- New review of foraging theory that can reproduce trait-mediated indirect
interactions and non-consumptive effects emerge. TMIIs and NCEs are exciting
areas of ecological
research because they illustrate the effects of individual adaptive behavior
on population and community dynamics. But how can we model the individual
foraging decisions from which these complex trophic dynamics emerge? These
decisions must trade off food intake vs. predation risk, when the alternatives
available and the intake and risk associated with them are subject to
feedbacks from how the individuals behavior. Trait-mediated trophic
interactions: is foraging theory keeping up? is our new review of this
subject in the journal Trends in Ecology and Evolution. It shows how the foraging theory we use in our trout models
can reproduce a wide range of observed TMIIs and NCEs.
See the Publications and Products page.
- Facultative anadromy in salmonids: linking habitat, individual life history decisions, and population-level consequences published in Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. How useful are state-based dynamic models of whether an individual juvenile salmonid should migrate to the ocean or remain to mature in freshwater (e.g., Satterthwaite et al., 2010. State-dependent life history models in a changing (and regulated) environment: steelhead in the California Central Valley. Evolutionary Applications 3: 221-243) for making management decisions? How do habitat conditions that affect growth and survival therefore affect the number of smolts produced by a spawning stream? We addressed these and other questions using inSALMO-FA, our new individual-based model for 'facultative anadromous' species such as steelhead/rainbow trout, in which some but not all individuals migrate to the ocean. A pre-publication version is available at the Publications and Products page.
- Individual- and agent-based modeling textbook.
The new book Agent-based and Individual-based Modeling: A Practical Introduction
by Steve Railsback and Volker Grimm is the first textbook
devoted to individual-based (or "agent-based") modeling in science. The text is designed for
courses in which instructors as well as students are new to this kind of modeling.
The book is not specific to ecology, but general to all scientific fields. It
teaches basic concepts of modeling, the design of individual-based models,
how to program models in the NetLogo platform, and analysis of models to
solve scientific problems and develop theory.
Much more information is at the book's web site.
- Short courses on teaching individual- and agent-based modeling.
In June of 2011-2015, we conducted one-week short course intended to help instructors,
including those new to individual-based modeling, develop and teach courses
at the university level. Additional information is at the
course web site.
If you are interested in future courses, please contact
- Summer short courses in individual- and agent-based modeling.
Our friends at the Institute of Forest Growth and Forest Computer Sciences of Technical
University Dresden, Germany, conduct intensive summer courses in
individual- and agent-based simulation modeling. The courses are intended primarily for
graduate students, and taught in
English at a lovely country location near Dresden.
See the course web site for information.
- Recent Masters theses in the
Mathematical Modeling Graduate Program
that use individual-based models.
Elizabeth Arnold built an IBM of how wild dogs (Lycaon pictus) disperse
among game reserves in South Africa. The model imported GIS data on landscape
features (roads, towns, etc.) and simulated their effect on dog movement
and survival. Kyle Falbo built a model of pelagic ocean dispersal of juvenile
Hawksbill sea turtle (Eretmochelys imbricata) that hatch on the Big Island
of Hawaii. Kyle's model uses satellite data to examine the effects of both
ocean currents and turtle behavior on their location in their first 3 years.
In collaboration with Argonne National Laboratory, Tyler Belarde used
a model of the juvenile Colorado pikeminnow (Pytchocheilus lucius)
in backwaters on the Green River, Utah, to simulate the interacting
effects of flow alteration (daily power-generation cycles) and exotic species
(an introduced fish that competes with and preys on pikeminnow) on survival
and growth of the endangered pikeminnow.
Math Modeling MS theses are available here.
- inSTREAM training opportunities. We occasionally provide training in our inSTREAM individual-based trout model.
Classes are usually but not always here in Arcata.
Contact Steve Railsback if you are interested.
- Developing a conceptual and theoretical basis for individual-based ecology.
Differential calculus provides the conceptual basis for classical ecological models,
but IBMs lack such a basis. We find the new science of Complex Adaptive Systems
to be a fruitful source of concepts for thinking about and designing IBMs.
- Applying fish IBMs to river management issues. We developed several generations of stream salmonid IBM to address such management
questions as: How do the magnitude and timing of instream flow releases affect
populations? What are the cumulative effects of changes in flow and temperature
on fish populations? What effects do habitat alterations (e.g., loss of pools,
increased turbidity), competition, predation, and habitat connectivity have on
- Using IBMs to test and develop ecological
theory. We use IBMs as 'virtual ecosystems' for testing ecological theory
and linking behavioral ecology to population ecology.
- Developing software and software
engineering approaches for IBMs. Software engineering is much more important
for IBMs than for other ecological models. We develop software engineering guidance,
flexible and re-usable code for stream fish models, and a library of Swarm-based
code for IBMs.
- Integrating individual-based approaches
in ecological and modeling education. We integrate IBMs in ecological modeling
courses at HSU, and gladly offer software and guidance to instructors at other
Two-dimensional hydraulic simulation in
version 5.0 of inSTREAM.
Habitat cells are shaded by water depth (alternatively, by velocity);
pink dots indicate juvenile fish, and rectangles indicate adult trout.
Last Updated: January 2016